Punch Shot: Who does Pinehurst setup favor?

Media members got a sneak peek at Pinehurst No. 2, site of this year’s U.S. Open, on Monday. That got our writers thinking, which player does the setup favor the most? They debate here:

By JASON SOBEL

Dustin Johnson’s game should be well suited for Pinehurst No. 2.

Based on the dispatches from colleagues who attended media day at the U.S. Open venue on Monday, the greatest determining factor at this year’s national championship just might be a little thing called luck. That’s because the randomness of lies off the fairways will leave players in varying degrees of optimal positions.

And hey, while Johnson has certainly earned everything he’s attained, it always seems like he’s enjoyed a decent amount of luck, too.

This should also help: The USGA will have rules officials walking with each group, letting players know whether they’re in a hazard or a waste bunker. That should be, um, helpful for Johnson.

But really, the main reason the course suits his game is because he’s one of the best ball-strikers around. Of the current top 10 in that category, players like Billy Horschel, Graham DeLaet and Louis Oosthuizen are all potential contenders, but DJ has the most upside of the bunch.

That doesn’t mean he’s the favorite, nor does it mean he’ll win, but he should find some advantages in the surroundings during U.S. Open week.

By RANDALL MELL

Phil Mickelson will finally get his U.S. Open title.

This year’s championship at Pinehurst No. 2 will reward creativity more than most U.S. Opens. It will also reward bravado without overly penalizing failure.

That’s right down Mickelson’s alley.

With Pinehurst No. 2’s turtle-back greens making it difficult to hit greens, the short game will be especially important. Getting up-and-down regularly will be vital. 

That favors Mickelson.

With fairways framed by wire grass, sand and pine straw instead of traditional rough, you won’t be seeing the typical chop out when players miss fairways. You’ll see some creative recovery shots.

That’s Mickelson’s game.

Factor in the good vibes of having come so close to winning at Pinehurst No. 2 in ’99, and this feels like a great opportunity for Mickelson. 

By REX HOGGARD

The house always wins and your scribe has learned that betting against Las Vegas is a zero sum game, but it is not Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy who should be the favorites heading into June’s U.S. Open.

That honor belongs to Matt Kuchar, and this isn’t just about what he has done for his odds lately.

Sure, the smiling assassin has earned more money in his last four PGA Tour starts than Tom Weiskopf did in his entire career and he hasn’t finished outside the top 5 since the middle of March.

Kuchar’s victory on Sunday at the RBC Heritage may have been his first of the 2013-14 season, but consider that in 11 events he’s finished inside the top 10 eight times and is first on Tour this season in scoring average.

But that’s not why he should be the early favorite for this year’s Pinehurst Open. Kooch is our frontrunner because of how well his game has travelled this season.

From the bomber’s ballparks at the Golf Club of Houston (where he lost a playoff to Matt Jones) and Augusta National (where he finished tied for fifth) to the ballstriking haven of Harbour Town, Kuchar refuses to be typecast which is a perfect recipe for Pinehurst.

By RYAN LAVNER

Only one player in the past 40 years has won the first two majors in a season, but Bubba Watson is positioned to make a run at the double dip. The Masters champion should also be the favorite for Pinehurst.

No. 2 will play more than 7,500 yards for the U.S. Open, with four par 4s stretching over 500 yards. That will put Watson, the Tour’s leader in driving distance, at a massive advantage, especially at a course that will feature virtually no rough. And with the severe slopes and runoffs around the greens, Watson will be able to rely on his deft touch and imagination to get the ball close to the hole, as he did a few weeks ago at Augusta.

If he can refocus in time for the year’s second major, Bubba has an opportunity to add his name to an elite list of Grand Slam winners.

By WILL GRAY

The conditions at Pinehurst No. 2 will favor Graeme McDowell as he looks to win the U.S. Open for the second time.

The Ulsterman has quietly put together a solid campaign in 2014, with five top-10 finishes in just eight starts, but two statistics will make him a favorite in June. McDowell is 16th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy, which is annually a key stat at the U.S. Open but may be more important at Pinehurst as players look to avoid the unpredictable sandy areas lining the fairway. He’s also second on Tour in strokes gained-putting, and whoever is best able to conquer the devilish, turtleback greens on No. 2 will likely contend.

McDowell is also 32nd in greens in regulation percentage and 18th in proximity to the hole this season. As conditions become more firm as the week progresses, the viable landing areas on the greens will continue to shrink, which will require players to become increasingly accurate with their approaches.

This will not be a typical U.S. Open setup, but McDowell’s game appears ideally suited for whatever Pinehurst – and the USGA – will throw at the field seven weeks from now. 

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Stat attack!: RBC Heritage review

Apparently Matt Kuchar took issue with David Feherty’s comment on Sunday’s edition of “Morning Drive” that nobody would be able to shoot a score as low as 64 in the final round of the RBC Heritage. Feherty opined that the rain and the wind would make Harbour Town GC a Sunday beast, but Kuchar begged to differ, his could-have-been-better, could-have-been-worse 7-under 64 giving him an 11-under 273 and a one-stroke victory over Luke Donald, who for the fifth time finished in the top three at Hilton Head without getting to don the tartan jacket. Kuchar’s 64 tied the record for best final round by a winner at the Heritage.

Best final-round score by a winner at the RBC Heritage

 Score
Player
Year
 64
Matt Kuchar
2014
 64
Brandt Snedeker
2011
 64 
Brian Gay
2009
 64
Stewart Cink
2004

Best final-round performances by Matt Kuchar

 Score
Tournament
Finish 
 63
2010 Humana
T-2
 64
2014 RBC Heritage
Won
 64
2009 Humana
T-25

Kuchar’s Sunday score offset a second-round 73, which was one of the highest final-round scores by a winner in 2013-14 and one of seven rounds over par by an eventual winner on Tour this year.

PGA Tour winners in 2013-14 despite shooting one round over par

 Player
Score
Tournament
Round
 Zach Johnson
74
Hyundai T of C
Third round
 Jimmy Walker
74
AT&T Pebble Beach
Fourth round
 Russell Henley
72
Honda Classic
Fourth round
 Patrick Reed
75
WGC-Cadillac
Second round
 John Senden
72
Valspar Champ.
First round
 Bubba Watson
74
Masters
Third round
 Matt Kuchar
73
RBC Heritage
Second round

The victory was Kuchar’s fourth straight top-10 finish and culminates a month where the now seven-time PGA Tour winner could have – some might say should have – won every time. Kuchar was T-4 at the Valero Texas Open, second at the Shell Houston Open and fifth at the Masters. He held the lead on Sunday in the Texas events and was one stroke back of the 54-hole leaders at the Masters. He is the first player with top-10 finishes in four consecutive PGA Tour events since Ryan Moore in 2012. (Unlike Kuchar, who played all four weeks, Moore and Dustin Johnson, who also accomplished the feat in 2012, had built in off-weeks during their streaks, as their runs came partially during the PGA Tour Playoffs.) Here are the players with three straight weeks in the top 10 since 2013.

Most consecutive weeks with top-10 finishes since 2013

 Weeks
Player
Year
Tournaments
 4
Matt Kuchar
2013-14
T-4-Texas, 2-Houston, 5-Masters, 1-Heritage
 3
Zach Johnson
2013-14
1-Hyundai, T-8 Sony, T-3 Humana
 3
Brandt Snedeker 
2013
T-2-Farmers, 2-Phoenix, 1-Pebble
 3
Charles Howell III
2013
T-3 Sony, T-2 Humana, T-9 Farmers
 3
Daniel Summerhays
2013
T-9 Greenbrier, T-4 John Deere, T-2 Sanderson Farms
 3
Graeme McDowell
2013
T-5 Match Play, T-9 Honda, T-3 Doral
 3
Jim Furyk
2013

T-9 Canada, T-9 Bridgestone, 2-PGA

 3
Scott Stallings
2013
T-4 Colonial, T-4 Memorial, T-2 FedEx St. Jude
 3
Zach Johnson
2013
T-4 Bridgestone, T-8 PGA, T-5 Wyndham

In his four-week run, Kuchar has finished in the top 10 in greens in regulation twice and driving accuracy three times. His putting – as might be expected from anyone watching his stunning three-putt from four feet on the 17th hole Sunday at Hilton Head – has been unremarkable.

Matt Kuchar’s statistical ranking the last four weeks

 Tournament
Driv. Dist.
Accuracy
GIR
Putts per round
Scrambling
 Texas
60
7
T-28
T-5
5
 Houston
49
26
1
T-44
T-58
 Masters
46
T-7
T-14
T-16
8
 Heritage
56
T-7
1
T-36
11
 Season rank
152
31
33
T-61
16

Kuchar’s comeback Sunday made a bridesmaid of Luke Donald at the Heritage for the third time. He has finished in the top three at Harbour Town five times without winning. There is only one other player with five top-three finishes, but no wins, at the same PGA Tour event since 2000. You know who he is. He’ll try to end his drought at the U.S. Open at Pinehurst in June.

Most top-three finishes in one event without winning: 2000-2014

 Player
Top 3s
Tournament
Seconds
Thirds
 Luke Donald
5
RBC Heritage
2009, 2011, 2014
2010, 2013
 Phil Mickelson
5
U.S. Open
2002, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2013
 
 Mike Weir
4
AT&T Pebble Beach
2005, 2009
2003, 2006
 Charles Howell III
4
Sony Open
2007, 2012
2005, 2013
 Vijay Singh
4
WGC-Cadillac
2003, 2008
2000, 2002

Harbour Town’s smallish green complexes yielded its usual low number of putts. Chesson Hadley and Jordan Spieth led the field with 102 putts. They are among the fewest putts taken at a tournament in 2013-14.

Fewest putts, one tournament 2013-14

Putts
Player
Tournament
Finish
 100
James Driscoll
Humana
T-18
 101
Scott Langley
Humana
T-18
 101
Will Mackenzie
Valero Texas
T-2
 102
Chad Collins
Humana
T-8
 102
Brian Harman
Northern Trust
T-3
 102
John Daly
Sony Open
T-32
 102 
Pat Perez
Valero Texas
T-11
 102
Chesson Hadley
Heritage
T-38
 102
Jordan Spieth
Heritage
T-12

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Furyk (66) co-leads after Heritage re-start

After rain forced the suspension of play Friday afternoon at Harbour Town, 65 players returned to the course Saturday morning to complete their second rounds. Few capitalized on the re-start better than Jim Furyk, who put the finishing touches on a 5-under 66 to grab a share of the lead at the RBC Heritage.

Furyk played seven holes in 2 under Friday amid difficult conditions before play was halted, then hit 10 of 11 greens after play resumed at 8:01 a.m. ET Saturday. He made three birdies across that stretch, including holing a 45-foot putt at No. 3, and sits atop the leaderboard at 5 under, alongside overnight leader K.J. Choi and Web.com Tour graduate Ben Martin.

Furyk is no stranger to success at Harbour Town, a trend he appears poised to continue. The 43-year-old won here in 2010, finished second in both 2005 and 2006 and has cracked the top 10 six times since 2003. He has also been playing well of late, with top-20 finishes in each of his last three starts including a T-14 result last week at the Masters.

In addition to Furyk and Choi, there are a number of established players in the hunt on Hilton Head Island. Luke Donald and Matt Kuchar sit among a group at 3 under, two shots off the pace, while defending champ Graeme McDowell remains in contention at 2 under after rounds of 71 and 69.

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Notes: Watson's short media tour; no Open for Woods?

AUGUSTA, Ga. – Bubba Watson decided to keep his post-Masters victory more low key this year. Instead of going to New York for a media tour, he headed home to Orlando, Fla., and kept plans for a five-day vacation with his wife.

Bubba being Bubba, there had to be a wrinkle.

Before leaving Tuesday morning for The Greenbrier resort in West Virginia, Watson decided to pay an unannounced visit to the Golf Channel studio and wanted to keep it a surprise.

”True Bubba style,” manager Jens Beck said. ”He has a good relationship with all those guys. But even when we left his house this morning, he started to get into his car. I said, ‘Bubba, we can’t be taking your car if we want this to be a surprise.’ So we all got into my little rental car so they wouldn’t spot us when we pulled up.”

The video shows Watson winding his way down the hallway and into the studio.

Beck said Watson’s wife and the wife of Golf Channel president Mike McCarley are friends, and not even the top man at the network was aware of the plans.

Watson also did ”CBS This Morning” via satellite from his home.

His ”media” tour actually began with a selfie. In a move that was sure to thrill his Southern fan base, Watson finished up his obligations Sunday night at Augusta National and then tweeted a picture of his crew having a late-night dinner at The Waffle House.

Watson planned to spend the rest of the week in West Virginia, and then Beck said he would try to carve out time to return to the University of Georgia and to his home in the Florida Panhandle to let fans in both spots join the celebration.

He was not sure where Watson was playing next.

Watson had just become a father before he won the Masters in 2012. After playing in New Orleans, he skipped the Wells Fargo Championship and The Players Championship so he could have a full month at home.

TIGER’S FUTURE: Notah Begay doesn’t expect to see Tiger Woods at the U.S. Open. Woods had back surgery a week before the Masters to alleviate a pinched nerve and has said only he would be out of golf until this summer.

Begay is one of Woods’ closest friends, and he told CBS Radio on Monday that he was in contact with Woods during the Masters.

”He missed being at Augusta and certainly was watching the tournament,” Begay said. ”I think he needs to give it a minimum of 90 days to make sure that scar tissue heals up appropriately and he doesn’t run the risk of reinjuring it. So that would push him past the U.S. Open.”

And that would mean a new No. 1 in the world golf ranking.

Ian Barker from the Official World Golf Ranking said if neither Woods nor Adam Scott play again over the next month – a year ago, Scott took three weeks off – then enough points would come off Woods’ ledger that Scott would pass him after The Players Championship.

And that projection was made before Scott tied for 14th in the Masters.

Henrik Stenson also could overtake Woods before then.

A RUN FOR THE ROSES: The PGA Championship returns to Valhalla in August, allowing for its defending champion a special visit.

Jason Dufner will be at the Kentucky Derby the first weekend in May, walking the red carpet on Derby Day with his Wanamaker Trophy and attending the Barnstable-Brown Party on Derby Eve. He also is to hit the first golf shot from one of the elevated skybox terraces at Churchill Downs.

”I’m excited to see Louisville at its best for two world-class sporting events,” Dufner said.

Dufner is to return to Louisville for his official media day at Valhalla on June 18 – Wednesday after the U.S. Open. The PGA Championship is Aug. 7-10.

RANKING RUMBLINGS: Jordan Spieth moved to No. 9 in the world with his runner-up finish in the Masters, making him the youngest American to be in the top 10. Spieth was 20 years, 8 months. Tiger Woods was 21 years, 4 months when he first cracked the top 10 by winning the 1997 Masters.

The youngest player in the top 10 was Sergio Garcia, who got there a week after turning 20 in January 2000.

Woods still holds the record as the youngest player to reach No. 1 (21 years, 5 months). Spieth would have to get to No. 1 by the end of the year to break that record.

THE KING: Golf Channel’s three-part documentary on Arnold Palmer got off to a big start. The network said ”Arnie” was the most-watched original film in its 20-year history after the first of three installments.

The first part was shown Sunday night after the Masters and had 471,000 viewers, Golf Channel said citing Nielsen Fast Nationals. That was nearly double the number of viewers for ”War By The Shore,” the film about the 1991 Ryder Cup that aired in September 2012.

DIVOTS: Rory McIlroy played the par 5s at even par for the week at the Masters and might chalk up the week as a disappointment. The silver lining? He tied for eighth, his first top-10 finish at Augusta National. … The last player to win the Masters on his first try was Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. The last player to capture the British Open on his first try was Ben Curtis in 2003. The last first-time winner at the PGA Championship was Keegan Bradley in 2011. As for the U.S. Open? Go all the way back to 1913, when an amateur named Francis Ouimet won. … Maybe this is a good omen for Phil Mickelson missing the cut at the Masters. Raymond Floyd also was 43 when he missed the cut at the 1986 Masters. Floyd went on to win the U.S. Open that year at Shinnecock Hills.

STAT OF THE WEEK: Tiger Woods has played only 76 official PGA Tour events since his knee surgery in 2008. He won 14 of them.

FINAL WORD: ”Freak show. I can’t describe it any other way.” – Ted Scott, the caddie for Masters champion Bubba Watson, asked to give his definition of ”Bubba golf.”

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T. Watson, Love III, Spieth featured at RBC Heritage

HILTON HEAD ISLAND, S.C. – The featured groups on Thursday at the RBC Heritage will be this year’s U.S. Ryder Cup team captain (Tom Watson) paired with the last American skipper (Davis Love III).

Watson and Love will head out with Jordan Spieth, who seems bound for this year’s team following his runner-up finish at last week’s Masters, at 12:40 p.m. (ET) off the first tee at Harbour Town Golf Links.

Zack Johnson, Luke Donald and Harris English will be the other half of Day 1’s featured groupings, teeing off at 12:50 p.m. on No. 1.

Friday’s featured groups will be Ernie Els, Matt Kuchar and Hunter Mahan who tee off at 12:40 p.m.; followed by Bill Haas, 2011 Heritage winner Brandt Snedeker and defending champion Graeme McDowell at 12:50 p.m.

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Latest European Tour Race to Dubai Show Now Live – 15th April 2014

Robert Lee and Richard Boxall are joined by Bob Bubka to look back at the first major of the year and a second Masters win for Bubba Watson. We hear from Bubba as well as joint runners up and rookies Jordan Spieth and Jonas Blixt. Plus we hear from other Europeans, including Rory McIlroy, Lee Westwood, Thomas Bjorn and Ian Poulter, before looking ahead to the Maybank Malaysian Open, which boasts a field including Masters stars Westwood, Louis Oosthuizen and Francesco Molinari.

 

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After Further Review: Bubba Golf built for Augusta

Each week, GolfChannel.com takes a look back at the week in golf. In this edition of After Further Review, our writers weigh in on Bubba Watson’s second Masters victory in three years, what it means for him going forward and how tough scoring conditions this week could affect the future setup of Augusta National.

Never overlook Bubba Watson here at the Masters. Never. I did this year and am not sure why. When he won at the Northern Trust Open he jumped on an early Masters favorites list. But somehow, at least to me, when he withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational I erased him from my mind as a contender altogether. I was focused mostly on Adam Scott, Rory McIlroy and Matt Kuchar. Never again. Doesn’t matter how he plays prior to this tournament, his booming drives and ridiculous shot-making ability will give him a chance to win more green jackets over the next eight years. Scary thought. – Jay Coffin

The cliché is, “the Masters doesn’t really begin until the back nine on Sunday.” So the most disappointing part of this year’s Masters was just how dull it was on the back nine Sunday. That’s the exact opposite of how it’s supposed to go. The tournament is supposed to be set up for great television — birdies, eagles, water splashes, thrilling charges, epic collapses — but we got none of that. Bubba Watson shot par on the back nine and won easily. Nobody came close to making a run at him.

His challengers —  Jordan Spieth (1 over), Jonas Blixt (1 under) and Matt Kuchar (1 over) could not do ANYTHING interesting on the back.

The tournament committee has to think about this. There were just three eagles on No. 13 (none by contenders), zero eagles on No. 15, only a couple of balls in the water on No. 12 and then nothing too exciting at the usually thrilling holes like 11 or 16. It was just blah all the way around — Blixt would say, simply, “I didn’t feel like I got it close enough to the pins in order to make that many birdies.” There have been so many changes at Augusta the last few years, many of them necessary with the evolving equipment and talent of golfers. But I think they made it too hard this week. The thrill was gone. – Joe Posnanski

Bubba Golf, in all its unique quirkiness, is better than the sum of its parts. Say what you will about the two-time Masters champion, his victory lap on Sunday at Augusta National was textbook. For the week, Watson finished first in driving distance (shocking, right?), 13th in greens in regulation and 12th in putts per green in regulation. His high-flying game has already produced two victories in 2014, as well as two runner-up showings, and virtually assured him a spot on this year’s Ryder Cup team. He may not be the most orthodox player, either in form or fashion, but the days of doubting his resolve are over. – Rex Hoggard

We’re going to find out a lot more about Jordan Spieth during the next three major championships. Prior to a runner-up finish in his first Masters appearance, the 20-year-old was saddled only with his own expectations, not those of everyone else. Now the hype machine is going to be set to full power. All eyes will be on Spieth at Pinehurst and Hoylake and Valhalla, because in a game that desperately yearns for a youthful new superstar, he fits the bill. Indications are that he can handle the pressure – this is a kid who’s been immune to any bravado. The intensity of the spotlight will only shine brighter going forward, though. He’s handled everything in his career with an unusually mature attitude so far, but it’s only going to get more difficult from here. – Jason Sobel

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